The NZ property and mortgage market showed early signs of recovery through winter. Lower interest rates are easing pressure on borrowers, while house prices are stabilising and buyer confidence is returning—slowly. For those refixing or entering the market, conditions are improving, though the pace remains steady rather than spectacular. The outlook points to more breathing room ahead.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) maintained the OCR at 3.25% in its July meeting, pausing after six consecutive cuts totalling 225 basis points since August 2024.
Recent OCR Reductions:
9 April: Cut by 25 basis points to 3.50%.
28 May: Further cut by 25 basis points to 3.25%.
Outlook: The RBNZ signaled that further easing might be appropriate if economic conditions warrant it. Reuters
Trend: Mortgage rates have generally decreased in response to the recent OCR cuts, and most exisiting mortgage holders are finally seeing some relief when refixing.
Current Rates (as of early July 2025, subject to change and lending conditions):
Floating: Approximately 6.44%
Fixed:
6 months: Around 4.89%.
1 year: Approximately 4.95%.
2 years: Roughly 5.09%.
3 years: About 5.69%.
Implication: Borrowers considering refixing may find more favorable rates compared to earlier in the year, there are opportunities for additional relief when refinancing.
CoreLogic Home Value Index:
May: Decreased by 0.1%.
June: Increased by 0.2%, indicating a modest rebound. corelogic.co.nz
REINZ House Price Index:
May: Recorded a 0.1% year-on-year increase but a 0.6% decline from April. reinz.co.nz
Market Sentiment: Buyers are exhibiting cautious confidence, taking more time to commit, which suggests a more balanced market. reinz.co.nz
Listings: While listings have decreased, they remain above average in many markets, potentially keeping price growth contained in the short term. corelogic.co.nz
Q1 2025: Annual CPI inflation increased to 2.5%. Reserve Bank of New Zealand
Outlook: The RBNZ expects inflation to remain within its target range, supporting its recent decisions to lower the OCR. Reserve Bank of New Zealand
Q1 2025: New Zealand's economy grew by 0.8%, following a 0.5% increase in Q4 2024. Stats NZ
Implication: The economy is showing signs of recovery, which may influence future monetary policy decisions.
Mortgage Refixing Wave: Over $200 billion in mortgages are due for refixing in the first half of 2025, potentially impacting household budgets and spending. interest.co.nz
Regional Variations: Some regions, like Southland, have shown consistent positive movement in the House Price Index, indicating localized market resilience. reinz.co.nz
RBNZ Cuts Rates Amid Global Uncertainty: An analysis of the RBNZ's decision to lower the OCR in response to global economic challenges. Reserve Bank of New Zealand
NZ Home Prices Projected to Rise: A Reuters poll suggests home prices may increase by 3.8% in 2025, supported by monetary policy easing. Reuters
CoreLogic June 2025 Housing Chart Pack: Detailed insights into property values and market trends across New Zealand. corelogic.co.nz
FIRST HOME BUYERS - Contact Tama to inquire on using some of your deposit from your Kiwisaver Superannuation.
REMEMBER ALL NONRESIDENTS MUST HAVE A NZ TAX FILE NUMBER BEFORE THEY SETTLE ANY NEW ZEALAND PROPERTY and must provide their overseas tax file number.,
NONRESIDENTS PURCHASING PROPERTY IN NZ - There is a ban of nonresidents purchasing "existing residential properties" - with the exception of New Zealand, Australian and Singaporean citizens. Nonresidents purchasing brand new properties are acceptable.
RENTAL AND VALUES: When you look at such a diversified value in New Zealand and look at rental return on the Government website (outlined on this website "Useful Links"), you will see the capital growth or decline and/or rental returns that suit you pertaining to the New Zealand location you wish to purchase.
REFER TO MY "CASE STUDIES"on my website for many New Zealand residents, including many Ex Pats who have moved back to New Zealand, Nonresidents particularly Australians and Kiwis residing in Australia or other countries all purchasing investment property in New Zealand.
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Content on this website is general in nature and is not a recommendation, opinion or guidance to any individuals in relation to acquiring or disposing of a financial product. Readers should not rely on this content and should always seek specific financial advice appropriate to their own individual circumstances.
Tama Sefuiva
New Zealand Financial Adviser
Financial Advice Provider: STEWART&LORD LIMITED (FSP666631)
Trading as New Zealand Mortgage Solutions Australia
ABN 89203398601